Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | +4.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -5 (75-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Burke * | 37 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 11-14 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 23 | - |
| G. Robinson III * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 31 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| N. Stauskas * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| M. McGary | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| S. Albrecht | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. LeVert | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Horford | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Bielfeldt | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Vogrich | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Johnson * | 38 | 12-17 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 20 | - |
| R. Johnson * | 35 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Davis * | 35 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| D.J. Byrd * | 27 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Hammons * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Marcius | 18 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Anthrop | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Johnson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Hale | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Carroll | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter