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2012-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 95.9% 4.1% -
Bradley-Terry 57.8% 42.2% -
Margin 89.0% 11.0% -11.5 (19.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% -
Efficiency 25.8% 74.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.5% 40.5% -
Log Adjusted 60.2% 39.8% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers +8 (66-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Byrd * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 3 11 15 -
T. Johnson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 6 12 -
A. Johnson * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 10 13 -
D. Hale * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 5 10 -
T. Carroll * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Hammons 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 2 3 20 30 -
R. Johnson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
J. Lawson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 7 -
J. Simpson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 3 1 4 12 -
S. Marcius 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
D. Anthrop 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
R. Davis 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moreland * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 1 3 7 17 -
A. Starks * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 2 5 8 -
R. Nelson * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 10 13 -
A. Brandt * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 1 4 9 17 -
J. Burton * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 3 6 12 -
D. Collier 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 0 0 1 0 27 42 -
L. Morris-Walker 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
C. Barton 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Reid 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
V. Robbins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter