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2013-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Penn State Nittany Lions Spread Result
Elo 70.3% 29.7% -6.1 โœ“ (2.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 57.3% 42.7% - โœ“
Margin 63.4% 36.6% -3.0 โœ“ (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 67.0% 33.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 81.0% 19.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 81.1% 18.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.9% 43.1% - โœ“

Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -9 (49-58). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Byrd * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 2 0 2 2 11 -
Ronnie Johnson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 16 23 -
AJ Hammons * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 3 2 15 28 -
Terone Johnson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 7 8 -
Rapheal Davis * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 8 12 -
Donnie Hale 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 1 10 20 -
Stephen Toyra 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Anthony Johnson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Travis Carroll 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sandi Marcius 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Newbill * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 0 0 4 17 23 -
Jermaine Marshall * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 7 14 -
Brandon Taylor * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 10 -
Nick Colella * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 3 8 -
Sasa Borovnjak * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 7 10 -
Ross Travis 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 0 8 17 -
Jonathan Graham 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 8 -
Donovon Jack 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Akosa Maduegbunam 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter