Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.9% | 27.1% | -5.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -9 (49-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Byrd * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - |
| R. Johnson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - |
| A. Hammons * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 28 | - |
| T. Johnson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Davis * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Hale | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| S. Toyra | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Carroll | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Marcius | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Newbill * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 23 | - |
| J. Marshall * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| B. Taylor * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| N. Colella * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| S. Borovnjak * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| R. Travis | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| J. Graham | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| D. Jack | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Maduegbunam | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter