Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.4% | 24.6% | -6.1 | ✗ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Byrd * | 37 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| R. Johnson * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| T. Johnson * | 32 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| R. Davis * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Carroll * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Hammons | 30 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| A. Johnson | 22 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Hale | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Marcius | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Lawson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Anthrop | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sobolewski * | 38 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| R. Hearn * | 38 | 11-17 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 13 | - |
| J. Swopshire * | 31 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| A. Olah * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. Demps * | 26 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 28 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - |
| M. Turner | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Abrahamson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter