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2013-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 13.5% 86.5% -
Bradley-Terry 41.7% 58.3% -
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 62.3% 37.7% -
Efficiency 96.3% 3.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.0% 10.0% -
Log Adjusted 89.9% 10.1% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -10 (64-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thomas * 39 8-13 4-7 2-4 7 1 2 1 2 22 18 -
S. Thompson * 36 4-8 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 8 3 -
L. Smith Jr. * 26 1-6 0-1 0-1 10 2 0 0 2 2 6 -
A. Craft * 25 6-7 0-0 3-3 0 2 1 1 3 15 9 -
A. Williams * 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 4 4 -
S. Scott 25 1-5 0-0 2-4 6 8 0 0 1 4 12 -
E. Ravenel 23 5-7 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 3 1 11 10 -
L. Ross 9 3-4 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 2 6 3 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Johnson * 35 5-15 0-0 1-5 6 7 2 0 2 11 9 -
T. Johnson * 33 8-21 0-3 2-3 6 2 0 1 3 18 3 -
D.J. Byrd * 26 2-6 2-4 0-0 1 3 0 1 0 6 5 -
A. Hammons * 22 4-9 0-0 5-5 8 0 0 0 0 13 12 -
J. Lawson * 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
A. Johnson 24 2-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -
R. Davis 20 3-3 1-1 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
D. Hale 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
S. Marcius 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 0 0 2 7 -
T. Carroll 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter