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2012-12-29

Model Predictions

Model William & Mary Tribe Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 10.1% 89.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.0% 77.0% - โœ“
Margin 7.9% 92.1% +13.5 โœ“ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.3% 97.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.1% 97.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.7% 75.3% - โœ“

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +7 (73-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

William & Mary Tribe

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Gaillard * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 1 3 12 19 -
Marcus Thornton * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 2 0 3 21 27 -
Matt Rum * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 3 10 -
Tim Rusthoven * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 2 16 24 -
Brandon Britt * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 11 13 -
Terry Tarpey 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Fred Heldring 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 0 3 -
Julian Boatner 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
Sean Sheldon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Byrd * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 2 8 15 -
Ronnie Johnson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 7 3 0 2 11 24 -
Terone Johnson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 1 0 16 26 -
A.J. Hammons * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 14 21 -
Jacob Lawson * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 3 1 6 13 -
Rapheal Davis 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 7 12 -
Anthony Johnson 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 7 8 -
Travis Carroll 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
Donnie Hale 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Neal Beshears 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter