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Orlando Magic

Also known as: Orlando Magic
Program History

2009 Team Stats (77 games)

101.5
PPG
94.7
Opp
+6.8
Margin
45.9%
FG%
38.1%
3P%
71.5%
FT%
43.2
RPG
19.5
APG
13.6
TO
94.0
Est. poss./game
99.7
Adj PPG
93.0
Adj Opp PPG
#4
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1223 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1184 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +105 elo More โ†’ 1082 (#6) HCA +105 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.4 More โ†’ +6.7 (#4) HCA +3.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ +6.0 (#6) HCA +3.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.654 (#4) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.7 More โ†’ 0.654 (#4) NetEff +5.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.7 More โ†’ 0.684 (#4) AdjNet +6.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.7 More โ†’ 0.685 (#4) AdjNet +6.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 99.7 | AdjD 93.0 More โ†’ 0.647 (#4) AdjO 99.7 | AdjD 93.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 98.3 | AdjD 93.2 More โ†’ 0.615 (#5) AdjO 98.3 | AdjD 93.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.686 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.680 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 62 | GP 102 More โ†’ 1143 (#3) RD 62 | GP 102

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-10-29 vs Atlanta Hawks L 85 - 99
2008-10-31 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 84 - 86
2008-11-01 vs Sacramento Kings W 121 - 103
2008-11-03 vs Chicago Bulls W 96 - 93
2008-11-06 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 98 - 88
2008-11-08 vs Washington Wizards W 106 - 81
2008-11-10 vs Portland Trail Blazers L 99 - 106
2008-11-12 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 109 - 92
2008-11-14 @ Dallas Mavericks W 102 - 100
2008-11-16 @ Charlotte Hornets W 90 - 85
2008-11-18 vs Toronto Raptors W 103 - 90
2008-11-21 @ Indiana Pacers W 100 - 98
2008-11-22 vs Houston Rockets L 95 - 100
2008-11-24 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 108 - 101
2008-11-26 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 96 - 94
2008-11-27 @ Washington Wizards W 105 - 90
2008-12-01 @ Boston Celtics L 88 - 107
2008-12-03 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 100 - 89
2008-12-05 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 98 - 89
2008-12-08 @ LA Clippers W 95 - 88
2008-12-09 @ Portland Trail Blazers W 109 - 108
2008-12-12 @ Phoenix Suns L 112 - 113
2008-12-13 @ Utah Jazz W 103 - 94
2008-12-15 @ Golden State Warriors W 109 - 98
2008-12-18 vs San Antonio Spurs W 90 - 78
2008-12-20 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 106 - 103
2008-12-22 vs Golden State Warriors W 113 - 81
2008-12-25 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 88 - 68
2008-12-27 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 118 - 94
2008-12-31 @ Chicago Bulls W 113 - 94
2009-01-02 vs Miami Heat W 86 - 76
2009-01-04 @ Toronto Raptors L 102 - 108
2009-01-07 @ Atlanta Hawks W 106 - 102
2009-01-09 vs Atlanta Hawks W 121 - 87
2009-01-11 @ San Antonio Spurs W 105 - 98
2009-01-13 @ Sacramento Kings W 139 - 107
2009-01-16 @ Los Angeles Lakers W 109 - 103
2009-01-17 @ Denver Nuggets W 106 - 88
2009-01-22 vs Boston Celtics L 80 - 90
2009-01-24 @ Miami Heat L 97 - 103
2009-01-27 vs Indiana Pacers W 135 - 111
2009-01-29 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 99 - 88
2009-02-01 @ Toronto Raptors W 113 - 90
2009-02-02 vs Dallas Mavericks L 95 - 105
2009-02-04 vs LA Clippers W 125 - 96
2009-02-06 @ Indiana Pacers L 102 - 107
2009-02-08 vs Brooklyn Nets W 101 - 84
2009-02-11 vs Denver Nuggets L 73 - 82
2009-02-17 vs Charlotte Hornets W 107 - 102
2009-02-18 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 85 - 117
2009-02-20 @ Charlotte Hornets W 92 - 80
2009-02-22 vs Miami Heat W 122 - 99
2009-02-24 @ Chicago Bulls L 102 - 120
2009-02-25 @ New York Knicks W 114 - 109
2009-02-27 vs Detroit Pistons L 85 - 93
2009-02-28 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 106 - 100
2009-03-03 vs Phoenix Suns W 111 - 99
2009-03-06 vs Brooklyn Nets W 105 - 102
2009-03-08 @ Boston Celtics W 86 - 79
2009-03-09 @ Detroit Pistons L 94 - 98
2009-03-11 vs Chicago Bulls W 107 - 79
2009-03-13 @ Washington Wizards W 112 - 103
2009-03-15 vs Utah Jazz W 105 - 87
2009-03-17 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 93 - 97
2009-03-21 vs New York Knicks W 110 - 103
2009-03-23 @ New York Knicks W 106 - 102
2009-03-25 vs Boston Celtics W 84 - 82
2009-03-27 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 110 - 94
2009-03-30 @ Miami Heat W 101 - 95
2009-04-01 vs Toronto Raptors L 95 - 99
2009-04-03 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 116 - 87
2009-04-04 @ Atlanta Hawks W 88 - 82
2009-04-07 @ Houston Rockets L 83 - 93
2009-04-08 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 81 - 78
2009-04-10 vs New York Knicks L 95 - 105
2009-04-11 @ Brooklyn Nets L 93 - 103
2009-04-13 @ Milwaukee Bucks - Incomplete score
2009-04-15 vs Charlotte Hornets W 98 - 73
2009-04-19 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 98 - 100
2009-04-22 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 96 - 87
2009-04-24 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 94 - 96
2009-04-26 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 84 - 81
2009-04-28 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 91 - 78
2009-04-30 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 114 - 89
2009-05-04 @ Boston Celtics W 95 - 90
2009-05-06 @ Boston Celtics L 94 - 112
2009-05-08 vs Boston Celtics W 117 - 96
2009-05-10 vs Boston Celtics L 94 - 95
2009-05-12 @ Boston Celtics L 88 - 92
2009-05-14 vs Boston Celtics W 83 - 75
2009-05-17 @ Boston Celtics W 101 - 82
2009-05-20 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 107 - 106
2009-05-22 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 95 - 96
2009-05-24 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 99 - 89
2009-05-26 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 116 - 114
2009-05-28 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 102 - 112
2009-05-30 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 103 - 90
2009-06-04 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 75 - 100
2009-06-07 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 96 - 101
2009-06-09 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 108 - 104
2009-06-11 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 91 - 99
2009-06-14 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 86 - 99

2009 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dwight Howard Dwight Howard G 75 35.5 20.4 13.7 1.3 1.0 2.9 3.1 12.4 23.9 - - - - 57.1 0.0 59.3 - 59.9 57.1
Rashard Lewis G 75 36.2 17.7 5.8 2.6 1.0 0.7 2.0 13.7 12.1 - - - - 44.1 39.4 83.6 - 58.1 54.1
Jameer Nelson G 40 31.2 17.0 3.5 5.6 1.3 0.1 2.0 12.6 12.8 - - - - 51.4 46.2 88.4 - 62.4 59.3
Hedo Turkoglu G 73 36.5 16.7 5.3 4.8 0.8 0.3 2.7 13.3 11.8 - - - - 41.0 35.2 80.8 - 53.8 47.4
Rafer Alston G 27 29.7 12.2 2.8 5.2 1.7 0.1 1.9 10.5 9.6 - - - - 41.9 30.9 70.5 - 51.1 47.2
Mickael Pietrus G 51 24.9 9.7 3.3 1.2 0.6 0.5 1.1 8.0 6.1 - - - - 41.8 36.2 72.6 - 54.4 51.2
Courtney Lee G 72 25.0 8.4 2.3 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.9 7.0 5.2 - - - - 45.3 41.4 81.6 - 55.8 53.0
JJ Redick JJ Redick G 61 17.1 5.9 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.8 4.7 3.6 - - - - 38.7 37.3 86.7 - 55.8 49.8
Anthony Johnson G 75 18.3 5.2 1.9 2.5 0.6 0.1 1.0 4.6 4.6 - - - - 40.8 39.3 74.7 - 51.1 47.7
Keith Bogans G 35 21.9 5.2 3.1 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.5 4.9 4.5 - - - - 35.7 33.1 86.4 - 50.4 47.7
Tony Battie G 72 15.4 4.7 3.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.6 4.0 4.8 - - - - 50.0 22.2 66.2 - 52.9 50.3
Marcin Gortat Marcin Gortat G 59 12.2 3.7 4.3 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.4 2.9 6.0 - - - - 56.1 100.0 55.0 - 56.9 56.4
Tyronn Lue G 12 9.7 3.3 0.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 3.2 2.2 - - - - 42.1 37.5 66.7 - 50.9 50.0
Jeremy Richardson G 10 6.5 3.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.4 0.7 - - - - 35.3 50.0 50.0 - 45.0 44.1
Brian Cook G 20 7.0 3.0 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.9 1.2 - - - - 37.9 45.8 83.3 - 49.5 47.4
Adonal Foyle - 8 5.2 0.9 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.2 0.6 3.0 - - - - 60.0 0 25.0 - 51.8 60.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG