๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2009-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 88.6% 11.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 88.1% 11.9% - โœ“
Margin 87.0% 13.0% -10.4 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 65.9% 34.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 85.6% 14.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 85.8% 14.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 85.9% 14.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 72.4% 27.6% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Wizards -9 (103-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwight Howard * 41 6-9 0-0 6-12 13 7 1 5 4 18 31 -
Mickael Pietrus * 39 8-14 5-10 0-2 11 6 2 2 2 21 26 -
Rashard Lewis * 37 6-13 3-9 4-4 6 2 1 0 1 19 14 -
Rafer Alston * 28 6-11 1-3 5-6 3 2 0 0 0 18 12 -
Tony Battie * 25 6-8 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 0 3 13 9 -
Courtney Lee * 22 2-10 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 5 -3 -
JJ Redick * 20 3-6 2-5 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 10 8 -
Anthony Johnson * 19 3-8 0-2 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 6 3 -
Marcin Gortat * 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dominic McGuire * 42 3-8 0-0 4-4 7 2 2 1 1 10 13 -
Antawn Jamison * 40 13-22 4-5 6-6 6 2 0 0 2 36 20 -
Nick Young * 33 8-15 1-2 3-3 5 4 0 0 1 20 13 -
Javaris Crittenton * 28 4-11 0-1 2-4 5 7 0 0 3 10 8 -
JaVale McGee * 20 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Mike James * 20 1-5 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 3 0 -
Caron Butler * 18 1-7 0-0 3-4 1 2 1 0 0 5 2 -
Darius Songaila * 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 1 2 4 4 -
Andray Blatche * 15 4-5 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 1 0 9 8 -
Oleksiy Pecherov 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter