Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -8 (91-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 49 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 48 | 11-31 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 15 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 43 | 6-14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 42 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Andrew Bynum * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Farmar * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Sasha Vujacic * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shannon Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 48 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-14 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 29 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 45 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 40 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 8-13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 36 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 27 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Marcin Gortat | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter