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2009-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 64.2% 35.8% -2.1 โœ— (7.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 72.9% 27.1% - โœ—
Margin 68.3% 31.7% -4.2 โœ— (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 68.9% 31.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 72.2% 27.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 72.2% 27.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 60.0% 40.0% - โœ—

Actual: Indiana Pacers +5 (107-102). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwight Howard * 42 8-18 0-0 5-12 20 0 0 1 3 21 21 -
Hedo Turkoglu * 37 6-16 1-5 7-8 6 11 0 0 4 20 17 -
Rashard Lewis * 37 6-15 4-11 0-1 4 1 0 1 3 16 4 -
Mickael Pietrus * 30 1-6 1-5 0-2 7 3 1 0 1 3 7 -
Anthony Johnson * 28 2-4 1-2 3-4 6 2 1 0 2 8 11 -
Courtney Lee * 24 4-7 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 8 2 -
JJ Redick * 24 4-7 3-5 6-6 4 2 0 0 2 17 14 -
Tony Battie * 10 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 7 7 -
Brian Cook * 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danny Granger * 37 9-21 3-8 12-12 5 1 0 2 1 33 19 -
T.J. Ford * 36 8-17 1-1 4-6 1 5 3 1 2 21 12 -
Mike Dunleavy * 36 3-10 1-5 4-4 4 4 3 0 2 11 10 -
Troy Murphy * 32 6-11 2-5 6-7 8 2 1 1 0 20 21 -
Jarrett Jack * 29 4-9 2-4 0-0 8 1 0 1 2 10 9 -
Roy Hibbert * 16 4-8 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 2 1 10 8 -
Jeff Foster * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 2 6 -
Travis Diener * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 0 0 4 -
Brandon Rush 21 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Maceo Baston 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Stephen Graham 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter