🐻⬇️🏀

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Also known as: Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Program History

2026 Team Stats (36 games)

77.1
PPG
65.1
Opp
+12.0
Margin
46.2%
FG%
34.8%
3P%
78.4%
FT%
34.2
RPG
14.0
APG
13.2
TO
83.3
Pace
81.2
AdjO
53.7
AdjD
#20
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1422 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1313 (#24) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1163 (#16) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +28.4 (#21) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +41.1 (#13) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.886 (#34) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +18.7 More → 0.906 (#40) NetEff +18.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +39.0 More → 0.989 (#22) AdjNet +39.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +40.1 More → 0.990 (#22) AdjNet +40.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 53.7 More → 0.924 (#20) AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 53.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 54.9 More → 0.862 (#10) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 54.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.976 (#18) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.969 (#17) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 36 More → 1321 (#18) RD 95 | GP 36

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-05 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 98 - 52
2025-11-09 vs Chicago State Cougars W 116 - 58
2025-11-12 vs Akron Zips W 85 - 58
2025-11-15 vs Michigan Wolverines L 54 - 93
2025-11-21 vs USC Trojans W 61 - 59
2025-11-24 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 83 - 51
2025-12-04 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 62 - 69
2025-12-07 @ Florida State Seminoles W 93 - 58
2025-12-11 vs Morehead State Eagles W 97 - 48
2025-12-14 @ James Madison Dukes W 78 - 65
2025-12-21 vs Bellarmine Knights W 110 - 38
2025-12-29 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 94 - 59
2026-01-01 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 90 - 95
2026-01-04 @ Duke Blue Devils L 68 - 82
2026-01-08 vs Boston College Eagles W 94 - 60
2026-01-11 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 73 - 50
2026-01-15 vs Louisville Cardinals L 66 - 79
2026-01-19 @ UConn Huskies L 47 - 85
2026-01-22 vs Miami Hurricanes W 74 - 66
2026-01-25 vs Clemson Tigers L 58 - 65
2026-01-29 @ California Golden Bears L 69 - 80
2026-02-01 @ Stanford Cardinal W 78 - 66
2026-02-05 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 80 - 70
2026-02-08 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 70 - 81
2026-02-15 vs NC State Wolfpack W 79 - 67
2026-02-19 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 78 - 54
2026-02-22 @ SMU Mustangs W 88 - 63
2026-02-26 vs Syracuse Orange W 72 - 62
2026-03-01 @ Louisville Cardinals W 65 - 62
2026-03-05 vs Miami Hurricanes W 69 - 54
2026-03-06 @ NC State Wolfpack W 81 - 63
2026-03-07 @ Duke Blue Devils L 63 - 65
2026-03-21 vs Fairfield Stags W 79 - 60
2026-03-23 @ Ohio State Buckeyes W 83 - 73
2026-03-27 @ Vanderbilt Commodores W 67 - 64
2026-03-29 @ UConn Huskies L 52 - 70

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
H. Hidalgo H. Hidalgo G 36 36.3 25.2 6.9 5.2 5.6 0.3 3.3 19.8 20.2 22 1.0 1.2 47.5 25.4 83.3 2.0 55.6 50.0
C. Prosper C. Prosper G 36 33.1 13.6 6.5 1.6 1.6 1.1 2.1 10.8 11.6 47 1.9 2.6 49.2 30.5 73.8 2.72 55.5 51.5
I. Moore I. Moore G 34 31.7 11.8 3.4 1.3 1.4 0.3 1.7 9.9 6.6 -5 -0.2 -0.4 39.1 37.2 87.0 0.2 55.0 51.0
V. de Jesus V. de Jesus G 36 34.2 8.4 2.8 2.7 1.8 0.2 1.9 7.3 6.6 42 1.8 2.3 40.2 40.0 90.0 -1.25 53.6 50.4
M. Cowles M. Cowles F 33 27.8 7.9 5.3 1.4 1.7 0.8 1.8 6.9 8.5 9 0.5 0.8 52.0 0 61.0 -0.93 53.3 52.0
KK Bransford KK Bransford G 24 25.1 7.4 4.0 1.3 1.1 0.3 1.8 6.2 6.2 -7 -0.5 -0.8 47.3 27.3 62.5 -0.37 52.0 49.3
G. Sanchez G. Sanchez F 35 19.1 5.7 3.4 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.9 4.6 5.3 26 1.2 1.9 51.6 50.0 75.0 0.99 59.8 59.0
K. Ratigan K. Ratigan G 17 8.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.9 60 4.3 14.5 35.0 31.2 66.7 2.21 50.8 47.5
B. Tehrani B. Tehrani F 8 2.6 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 7 1.0 15.3 33.3 0 100.0 0.26 43.6 33.3
J. Smith J. Smith G 15 3.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 101 4.2 6.9 40.0 0.0 0.0 4.48 36.8 40.0
L. Jensen L. Jensen G 12 2.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 4 0.4 7.3 20.0 20.0 0 -0.12 30.0 30.0
Leah Macy Leah Macy F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG