Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.3% | 26.7% | -14.4 | ✗ (25.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.6% | 17.4% | -8.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +11 (80-69). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Hidalgo * | 40 | 8-20 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 9 | -6.7 |
| Vanessa de Jesus * | 38 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -19.0 |
| Cassandre Prosper * | 37 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -22.2 |
| Malaya Cowles * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -15.1 |
| Iyana Moore * | 32 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | -17.9 |
| Gisela Sanchez | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -12.2 |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lulu Twidale * | 40 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 8-9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | +32.0 |
| Gisella Maul * | 39 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 5-9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +30.8 |
| Mjracle Sheppard * | 39 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 20 | +31.7 |
| Sakima Walker * | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | +25.9 |
| Taylor Barnes * | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +10.1 |
| Lola Donez | 18 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +9.6 |
| Claudia Langarita | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2.6 |
| Naya Ojukwu | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.5 |
* = starter