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2026-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish California Golden Bears Spread Result
Elo 79.1% 20.9% -
Bradley-Terry 65.0% 35.0% -
Margin 83.7% 16.3% -9.0 (20.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -
Efficiency 77.6% 22.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.7% 14.3% -
Log Adjusted 86.2% 13.8% -
Points Off/Def 67.0% 33.0% -

Actual: California Golden Bears +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Hidalgo 40 8-20 1-3 5-6 6 6 2 0 7 22 9 -5.9
V. de Jesus 38 3-10 0-4 1-1 3 4 1 0 0 7 5 -9.5
C. Prosper 37 4-14 0-2 2-4 9 0 3 2 1 10 9 -10.2
M. Cowles 34 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 4 0 0 8 10 -6.1
I. Moore 32 7-14 5-10 1-1 2 1 2 0 2 20 9 -4.9
G. Sanchez 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 3 -0.5

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Twidale 40 4-7 3-5 8-9 2 4 0 0 2 19 16 +9.5
G. Maul 39 4-7 3-5 5-9 5 2 0 0 2 16 14 +9.4
M. Sheppard 39 7-10 1-1 3-5 4 10 4 0 6 18 20 +9.0
S. Walker 33 5-7 0-0 2-4 9 0 0 3 4 12 13 +9.8
L. Donez 18 2-2 2-2 3-5 0 0 0 0 2 9 5 +4.6
T. Barnes 15 1-1 1-1 1-1 1 0 0 1 0 4 5 +3.1
C. Langarita 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 0 -2.0
N. Ojukwu 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.0

* = starter