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2026-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 78.9% 21.1% -
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% -
Margin 52.5% 47.5% -0.5 (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% -
Efficiency 55.2% 44.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.3% 40.7% -
Log Adjusted 59.6% 40.4% -
Points Off/Def 50.2% 49.8% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -18 (63-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Moore 38 6-13 4-9 4-4 9 3 3 1 2 20 21 -
V. de Jesus 36 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 8 7 -
H. Hidalgo 32 12-20 0-2 1-1 5 5 2 0 2 25 15 -
C. Prosper 30 5-9 1-2 2-2 6 1 1 1 1 13 12 -
M. Cowles 27 2-4 0-0 1-2 7 1 2 0 0 5 11 -
KK Bransford 18 2-8 1-4 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 6 -2 -
G. Sanchez 13 2-4 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
K. Ratigan 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Jensen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Brooks 38 5-11 0-2 0-0 4 5 3 0 6 10 5 -
K. Pierre 33 7-11 0-0 3-4 14 0 0 0 5 17 15 -
Z. Jones 30 5-13 1-6 3-3 2 4 0 1 5 14 3 -
T. Trygger 28 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 1 1 0 3 -
Q. Samuels 27 4-7 2-4 2-5 6 1 1 0 0 12 13 -
D. Quigley 14 2-6 0-3 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
M. Cox 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
D. Lunan 10 0-5 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -4 -
M. Collier 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Jernigan 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter