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2026-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 9.1% 90.9% +15.2 ✓ (22.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 16.8% 83.2% - ✓
Margin 1.2% 98.8% +24.1 ✓ (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 10.1% 89.9% - ✓

Actual: UConn Huskies +38 (85-47). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cassandre Prosper * 39 6-15 0-1 0-0 7 3 2 1 2 12 8 -9.4
Hannah Hidalgo * 38 5-15 1-6 5-6 4 2 3 1 3 16 8 -0.9
Iyana Moore * 36 2-7 0-5 2-2 3 2 0 0 4 6 0 -17.4
Vanessa de Jesus * 33 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -10.6
Malaya Cowles * 23 2-5 0-0 1-2 2 1 2 0 2 5 3 -10.8
Gisela Sanchez 29 3-6 0-2 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 6 5 +0.7
Kelly Ratigan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.8
Jordyn Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.5
Luci Jensen 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Azzi Fudd * 37 7-13 0-4 1-1 3 1 1 0 0 15 7 +27.7
Sarah Strong * 33 8-12 1-4 1-1 11 3 3 3 3 18 23 +25.4
Ashlynn Shade * 27 4-6 2-4 0-2 4 4 0 0 0 10 12 +19.1
KK Arnold * 26 4-7 1-3 3-3 2 5 2 0 1 12 13 +32.0
Serah Williams * 24 5-6 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 1 2 11 14 +18.9
B. Quiñonez 23 4-11 0-5 0-0 4 3 1 1 5 8 1 +1.4
Kayleigh Heckel 20 3-7 2-3 1-1 1 3 1 0 0 9 7 +0.2
Allie Ziebell 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 +1.6
Ayanna Patterson 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 +0.5
Kelis Fisher 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 +0.0

* = starter