Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | -4.7 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -4.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +11 (81-70). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Hidalgo * | 38 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 9-12 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Iyana Moore * | 37 | 5-11 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Cassandre Prosper * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Vanessa de Jesus * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Malaya Cowles * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 5 | - |
| KK Bransford | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Gisela Sanchez | 14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kymora Johnson * | 39 | 9-18 | 2-7 | 9-10 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Paris Clark * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Sa'Myah Smith * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tabitha Amanze * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Gabby White * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Romi Levy | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Caitlin Weimar | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jillian Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter