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2026-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 75.7% 24.3% -
Bradley-Terry 53.9% 46.1% -
Margin 72.9% 27.1% -5.5 (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.8% 25.2% -
Log Adjusted 75.6% 24.4% -
Points Off/Def 59.2% 40.8% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +11 (81-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Hidalgo 38 7-16 1-4 9-12 7 8 1 0 3 24 21 -
I. Moore 37 5-11 5-10 2-2 5 4 1 1 1 17 16 -
C. Prosper 34 4-13 1-4 0-0 6 2 1 0 3 9 2 -
V. de Jesus 30 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 5 6 -
M. Cowles 27 2-3 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 2 6 5 5 -
KK Bransford 20 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 3 4 -1 -
G. Sanchez 14 2-4 2-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 6 5 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Johnson 39 9-18 2-7 9-10 4 5 2 1 6 29 17 -
P. Clark 36 4-10 1-3 6-9 8 1 3 0 2 15 15 -
S. Smith 31 2-7 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 1 4 7 -
T. Amanze 30 6-9 0-0 2-4 3 3 2 2 0 14 15 -
R. Levy 23 3-6 0-2 1-1 3 2 3 0 1 7 8 -
G. White 22 3-9 0-0 3-3 2 4 0 0 1 9 5 -
C. Weimar 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 2 3 -
J. Brown 0 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter