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Morgan State

Also known as: Morgan State Bears
Program History

2008 Team Stats (1 games)

77.0
PPG
66.0
Opp
+11.0
Margin
46.7%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
71.4%
FT%
35.0
RPG
15.0
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.9
Adj PPG
64.9
Adj Opp PPG
#173
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2007-2008
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1033 (#143) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1071 (#118) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +100 elo More โ†’ 1078 (#62) HCA +100 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -1.5 (#177) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More โ†’ -6.2 (#250) HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.705 (#67) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.7 More โ†’ 0.450 (#173) AdjNet -1.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.9 More โ†’ 0.445 (#175) AdjNet -1.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 64.9 More โ†’ 0.478 (#173) AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 64.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 65.1 More โ†’ 0.471 (#194) AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 65.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.509 (#162) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.507 (#160) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 117 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1057 (#132) RD 117 | GP 32

2008 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2007-11-07 @ UConn Huskies L 65 - 69
2007-11-08 vs Ohio Valley Fighting Scots W 77 - 66
2007-11-14 @ St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 77 - 53
2007-11-20 vs American University Eagles W 62 - 54
2007-11-24 @ Miami Hurricanes L 51 - 55
2007-11-29 @ UMBC Retrievers L 76 - 84
2007-12-01 @ Coppin State Eagles W 78 - 50
2007-12-06 @ Maryland Terrapins L 65 - 89
2007-12-08 vs La Salle Explorers W 93 - 87
2007-12-21 vs Longwood Lancers W 76 - 51
2007-12-28 @ Niagara Purple Eagles L 53 - 73
2007-12-29 @ Denver Pioneers L 44 - 54
2008-01-05 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 81 - 89
2008-01-12 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies W 87 - 66
2008-01-14 @ Norfolk State Spartans L 69 - 71
2008-01-19 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 57 - 41
2008-01-21 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 59 - 50
2008-01-26 @ Howard Bison W 69 - 51
2008-01-28 @ Hampton Pirates W 64 - 57
2008-02-02 vs Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks W 67 - 52
2008-02-04 vs Delaware State Hornets W 64 - 59
2008-02-09 vs Winston Salem Rams W 63 - 41
2008-02-11 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 81 - 55
2008-02-16 @ Florida A&M Rattlers L 89 - 90
2008-02-18 @ Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 63 - 52
2008-02-23 vs Howard Bison W 64 - 59
2008-02-25 vs Hampton Pirates W 66 - 62
2008-03-01 @ Delaware State Hornets W 39 - 36
2008-03-06 vs Coppin State Eagles W 68 - 64
2008-03-12 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 77 - 68
2008-03-14 vs Delaware State Hornets W 61 - 55
2008-03-15 vs Coppin State Eagles L 60 - 62
2008-03-19 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 62 - 94

2008 Roster

No roster data available for this season.