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2007-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 0.1% 99.9% -
Bradley-Terry 3.0% 97.0% -
Margin 0.3% 99.7% +31.5 (27.5 off)

Actual: UConn Huskies +4 (69-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Coly 36 6-11 0-0 0-0 13 1 3 0 1 12 17 -
J. Bolden 32 2-8 1-1 0-0 2 5 3 0 0 5 7 -
J. Green 32 1-5 0-3 0-3 2 2 0 0 4 2 -3 -
J. Smith 24 5-17 2-5 4-6 7 2 2 0 2 16 8 -
M. Kately 21 2-10 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 5 -1 -
R. Stokes 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 4 6 -
R. Holmes 15 6-12 6-9 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 18 6 -
K. Aujla 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
C. Moore 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
G. Johnson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Hemsley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Adrien 37 4-9 0-0 4-8 10 2 0 7 3 12 19 -
A.J. Price 35 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 9 3 0 3 5 13 -
J. Dyson 27 6-13 2-6 6-7 2 0 2 1 4 20 8 -
C. Austrie 23 3-5 0-2 2-3 5 1 1 0 1 8 9 -
C. Kelly 23 3-7 0-0 7-7 9 1 0 0 0 13 16 -
D. Wiggins 22 2-6 1-5 3-4 2 1 3 0 0 8 8 -
H. Thabeet 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 2 2 3 7 -
S. Robinson 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 0 -7 -
G. Edwards 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Mandeldove 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter