Model Predictions
| Model | Longwood Lancers | Morgan State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | +5.7 | ✓ (19.3 off) |
Actual: Morgan State Bears +25 (76-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams | 29 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 5 | - |
| R. Bogan | 27 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| L. Barrett | 26 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| B. Giles | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. Jaekel | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Swecker | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E.J. Dawson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Neil | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Wilson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Robinson Jr. | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. Evans | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Ryan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kately | 34 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| B. Coly | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| J. Smith | 29 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| J. Green | 28 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| J. Bolden | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| G. Hemsley | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| R. Holmes | 15 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| R. Stokes | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Aujla | 7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Moore | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Johnson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter