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2008-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Hampton Pirates Spread Result
Elo 53.8% 46.2% -1.8 โœ“ (5.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% - โœ—
Margin 42.7% 57.3% +1.6 โœ— (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 58.7% 41.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.5% 52.5% - โœ—

Actual: Hampton Pirates -7 (57-64). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamar Smith 39 8-18 2-4 5-6 8 0 0 1 4 23 10 -
Reggie Holmes 31 3-13 1-9 7-8 2 1 2 0 0 14 6 -
Jerrell Green 31 0-4 0-1 1-2 1 3 2 0 1 1 2 -
B. Coly 25 4-6 0-0 4-5 12 0 2 1 2 12 19 -
Marquise Kately 25 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 6 6 1 -
Gene Johnson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Gilroy Hemsley 14 2-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 2 1 6 10 -
Jermaine Bolden 10 0-5 0-2 0-1 1 2 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Rogers Barnes 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Karanvir Aujla 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Rodney Stokes 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Hampton Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Freeman 30 3-4 0-0 7-8 10 0 1 1 3 13 18 -
Rashad West 27 3-15 0-5 3-8 3 2 1 0 3 9 -3 -
Theo Smalling 27 1-4 0-0 1-3 5 2 1 1 3 3 5 -
Vincent Simpson 23 3-11 2-5 1-2 1 4 0 0 2 9 1 -
Matt Pilgrim 22 3-9 0-1 1-2 6 1 1 1 1 7 6 -
Adrian Woodard 19 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Donte Harrison 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 2 4 6 -
Brandon Tunnell 15 2-4 2-2 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
Jordan Brooks 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 0 4 -
Jonathan Ntoko 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jonathan Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter