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2008-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks Morgan State Bears Spread Result
Elo 2.6% 97.4% +26.2 โœ“ (11.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 6.5% 93.5% - โœ“
Margin 1.4% 98.6% +23.3 โœ“ (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 4.6% 95.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 11.8% 88.2% - โœ“

Actual: Morgan State Bears +15 (67-52). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Denzel Jackson 40 1-4 0-0 4-4 5 2 2 0 0 6 11 -
E. Tyson 39 7-20 1-5 13-15 6 0 3 0 2 28 15 -
M. Davis 22 1-7 0-3 1-4 1 1 1 0 4 3 -5 -
J. Bivins 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 -
M. Mirjacic 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 4 5 -
I. McFadden 15 3-6 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 3 6 3 -
J. Bright 13 1-3 0-2 1-3 1 0 2 0 1 3 2 -
B. Moore 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Gary Lee 9 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B.J. Nimocks 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Krleski 8 1-2 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kately 39 5-11 1-2 4-8 11 4 0 0 1 15 18 -
B. Coly 36 6-8 0-0 3-4 13 1 1 6 3 15 25 -
Jamar Smith 32 7-14 1-4 3-8 10 0 2 0 2 18 14 -
Reggie Holmes 22 2-9 2-8 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 7 -2 -
J. Bolden 21 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 5 1 0 3 0 0 -
Jerrell Green 19 0-3 0-2 4-9 0 3 0 0 0 4 4 -
R. Barnes 14 0-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 2 0 1 3 4 -
K. Aujla 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
G. Johnson 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
G. Hemsley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter