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2008-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Coppin State Eagles Morgan State Bears Spread Result
Elo 16.3% 83.7% +11.5 โœ“ (7.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 22.5% 77.5% - โœ“
Margin 8.0% 92.0% +13.4 โœ“ (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.5% 96.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.3% 96.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“

Actual: Morgan State Bears +4 (68-64). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

Coppin State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tywain McKee 38 4-13 0-2 9-10 3 4 0 0 2 17 9 -
R. Pressey 36 4-8 0-0 2-4 13 1 1 1 2 10 16 -
J. Conyers 30 3-8 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 8 0 -
Mike Miller 29 2-5 0-2 6-7 1 1 3 0 2 10 8 -
A. Harrison 24 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
A. Duncan 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
V. Goldsberry 12 1-2 1-1 0-2 2 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
B. Chesnut 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
C. Kucinskas 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kately 38 6-11 0-0 1-5 7 2 1 0 0 13 12 -
B. Coly 37 6-8 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 1 0 13 18 -
Reggie Holmes 27 3-8 1-5 4-7 6 1 1 0 1 11 10 -
K. Aujla 25 3-10 2-8 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 8 -2 -
Jerrell Green 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 4 3 0 2 2 8 -
J. Bolden 22 2-4 0-2 5-6 0 4 1 0 6 9 4 -
R. Barnes 16 4-7 3-6 1-3 1 0 1 0 2 12 5 -
G. Johnson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
G. Hemsley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter