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2007-11-20

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Morgan State Bears Spread Result
Elo 82.1% 17.9% -
Bradley-Terry 57.6% 42.4% -
Margin 57.5% 42.5% -1.7 (9.7 off)

Actual: Morgan State Bears +8 (62-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mercer 36 6-14 1-3 0-2 1 3 0 0 1 13 2 -
T. Lay 29 3-6 0-1 1-1 6 0 1 0 1 7 7 -
F. Borden 26 1-4 1-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
G. Carr 24 4-14 4-8 6-6 1 0 0 0 1 18 4 -
B. Simon 20 0-6 0-2 0-2 2 0 2 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Nichols 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 4 7 -
B. Gilmore 17 0-6 0-4 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 1 -1 -
C. Motnii 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 2 1 -
R. Penny 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Guibunda 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Coly 37 4-4 0-0 0-2 9 1 1 2 3 8 14 -
M. Kately 37 2-9 0-0 0-2 3 4 0 2 0 4 4 -
J. Smith 33 5-12 0-2 6-8 3 0 0 3 2 16 8 -
J. Green 28 4-7 1-1 1-2 4 3 1 0 3 10 8 -
R. Holmes 27 5-11 3-6 3-4 6 0 0 1 2 16 10 -
C. Moore 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 6 7 -
R. Stokes 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 2 0 0 5 -
G. Hemsley 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
K. Aujla 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter