Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | +7.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.6% | 78.4% | +7.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +8 (84-76). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kately | 39 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Jamar Smith | 38 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| J. Bolden | 33 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Reggie Holmes | 29 | 4-15 | 3-11 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Jerrell Green | 25 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Coly | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| G. Hemsley | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Moore | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Proctor | 38 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| R. Barbosa | 37 | 6-19 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| J. Greene | 36 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | - |
| B. Hodges | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Cavell Johnson | 24 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| M. Spadafora | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Fry | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
* = starter