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2007-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Denver Pioneers Spread Result
Elo 16.1% 83.9% -
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% -
Margin 17.9% 82.1% +8.4 (1.6 off)

Actual: Denver Pioneers +10 (54-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Coly 36 3-7 0-0 3-3 14 2 1 4 3 9 20 -
M. Kately 34 6-12 0-0 1-4 2 2 2 0 4 13 3 -
J. Smith 32 8-17 1-2 1-3 2 1 1 1 1 18 5 -
J. Bolden 32 1-4 0-1 0-2 0 2 2 0 2 2 0 -
J. Green 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
R. Barnes 19 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 2 1 -
G. Hemsley 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Aujla 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Stokes 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Denver Pioneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Rohnert 37 5-9 1-1 5-6 6 4 1 0 2 16 16 -
A. Tanner 36 2-4 0-1 6-6 5 0 1 2 2 10 12 -
D. Kummer 34 3-7 1-2 3-4 7 0 2 1 2 10 11 -
K. Lewis 31 2-2 2-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 8 8 -
R. Lewis 24 2-4 0-1 1-2 8 2 0 0 2 5 9 -
X. McNally 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 3 1 4 0 1 -
J. Jackson 18 2-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 1 2 5 2 -

* = starter