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2007-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Denver Pioneers Spread Result
Elo 67.7% 32.3% -6.2 โœ— (16.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 70.4% 29.6% - โœ—
Margin 49.6% 50.4% +0.1 โœ“ (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 66.2% 33.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 69.9% 30.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 69.9% 30.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 51.8% 48.2% - โœ—

Actual: Denver Pioneers +10 (54-44). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Coly 36 3-7 0-0 3-3 14 2 1 4 3 9 20 -
Marquise Kately 34 6-12 0-0 1-4 2 2 2 0 4 13 3 -
Jamar Smith 32 8-17 1-2 1-3 2 1 1 1 1 18 5 -
Jermaine Bolden 32 1-4 0-1 0-2 0 2 2 0 2 2 0 -
Jerrell Green 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
Rogers Barnes 19 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 2 1 -
Gilroy Hemsley 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Karanvir Aujla 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Rodney Stokes 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Denver Pioneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nate Rohnert 37 5-9 1-1 5-6 6 4 1 0 2 16 16 -
Adam Tanner 36 2-4 0-1 6-6 5 0 1 2 2 10 12 -
David Kummer 34 3-7 1-2 3-4 7 0 2 1 2 10 11 -
Kyle Lewis 31 2-2 2-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 8 8 -
Rob Lewis 24 2-4 0-1 1-2 8 2 0 0 2 5 9 -
Xander McNally 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 3 1 4 0 1 -
Joe Jackson 18 2-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 1 2 5 2 -

* = starter