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2008-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Norfolk State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 64.6% 35.4% -5.2 โœ— (7.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 64.6% 35.4% - โœ—
Margin 72.2% 27.8% -5.2 โœ— (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 57.6% 42.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 87.3% 12.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 87.6% 12.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 62.0% 38.0% - โœ—

Actual: Norfolk State Spartans +2 (71-69). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Coly 39 6-9 0-0 12-13 12 0 0 3 0 24 30 -
Marquise Kately 36 4-10 1-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 9 3 -
Jerrell Green 34 1-6 0-2 1-2 4 6 0 0 4 3 3 -
Jamar Smith 29 3-12 0-5 6-6 2 1 1 2 1 12 5 -
Reggie Holmes 26 5-15 4-6 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 14 6 -
Jermaine Bolden 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -3 -
Gilroy Hemsley 9 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
Rogers Barnes 8 0-4 0-2 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -2 -
Karanvir Aujla 5 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -
Rodney Stokes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Norfolk State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Larry Vickers 39 3-7 0-0 0-0 10 1 2 6 2 6 16 -
Tony Murphy 39 6-16 1-7 8-9 2 3 1 0 6 21 5 -
Corey Lyons 38 7-14 1-4 5-5 4 0 2 1 0 20 13 -
Michael Deloach 32 5-9 1-2 1-1 3 7 2 0 2 12 13 -
Brandon Monroe 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Joe Dorsett-Jeffreys 11 3-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 8 6 -
Rashid Cann 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 -
Kevin Worsley 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 3 -
Raphael Hall 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Chidi Okoli 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter