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2008-02-11

Model Predictions

Model South Carolina State Bulldogs Morgan State Bears Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% +13.7 โœ“ (12.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 16.6% 83.4% - โœ“
Margin 6.0% 94.0% +15.1 โœ“ (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 25.3% 74.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.0% 96.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.7% 78.3% - โœ“

Actual: Morgan State Bears +26 (81-55). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

South Carolina State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Bennett 31 4-9 2-4 1-2 1 2 0 0 6 11 -1 -
E. Spencer 27 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 5 6 -
Jason Johnson 27 4-4 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 2 2 9 12 -
J. Burton 23 1-4 0-1 3-3 0 2 0 0 6 5 -3 -
Julius Carter 19 5-7 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 4 12 8 -
P. Adams 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
R. Baker 12 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 3 3 0 -
C. Miller-Williams 10 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
T. Bookman 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
D. Cobb 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Coly 37 1-4 0-0 1-4 13 1 0 0 1 3 12 -
Jerrell Green 31 1-5 0-1 4-5 2 8 4 0 4 6 11 -
Reggie Holmes 28 8-12 7-9 2-2 3 1 5 0 1 25 21 -
Jamar Smith 27 6-14 2-4 6-8 5 3 3 1 2 20 16 -
M. Kately 24 8-16 0-0 2-4 7 0 1 0 3 18 7 -
R. Barnes 15 2-3 1-1 3-3 0 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
J. Bolden 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 4 0 -5 -
K. Aujla 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Johnson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Hemsley 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 3 1 1 1 5 -
R. Stokes 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Domonique Scott 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter