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Morehead State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Morehead State Eagles
Program History
Coach: Jonathan Mattox

2012 Team Stats (1 games)

60.0
PPG
66.0
Opp
-6.0
Margin
44.2%
FG%
37.5%
3P%
72.7%
FT%
30.0
RPG
10.0
APG
19.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.3
Adj PPG
61.8
Adj Opp PPG
#212
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 983 (#177) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 997 (#172) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1040 (#111) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → -2.8 (#213) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +0.3 (#165) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.422 (#200) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.3 More → 0.379 (#210) AdjNet -4.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.3 More → 0.378 (#210) AdjNet -4.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.3 | AdjD 61.8 More → 0.443 (#212) AdjO 59.3 | AdjD 61.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 59.3 More → 0.535 (#132) AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 59.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.485 (#176) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.503 (#164) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 | GP 27 More → 987 (#177) RD 153 | GP 27

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-13 @ NC State Wolfpack L 61 - 91
2011-11-15 @ Charleston Cougars L 57 - 72
2011-11-17 vs Asbury College Eagles W 100 - 48
2011-11-22 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 48 - 83
2011-11-25 @ West Alabama Tigers W 61 - 52
2011-11-26 vs Princeton Tigers W 68 - 56
2011-11-27 @ Bucknell Bison L 50 - 54
2011-12-01 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 63 - 83
2011-12-04 vs Mid-Continent Colleg W 83 - 57
2011-12-07 vs Illinois State Redbirds L 73 - 78
2011-12-10 vs South Dakota Coyotes L 56 - 57
2011-12-19 @ Binghamton Bearcats W 64 - 45
2011-12-23 vs Ball State Cardinals W 62 - 54
2011-12-28 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks L 51 - 67
2011-12-31 vs Austin Peay Governors W 68 - 64
2012-01-05 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 63 - 55
2012-01-07 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 55 - 66
2012-01-11 @ Tennessee State Tigers L 72 - 77
2012-01-14 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 57 - 54
2012-01-18 vs Murray State Racers L 60 - 66
2012-01-24 @ Norfolk State Spartans W 75 - 69
2012-01-28 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 56 - 50
2012-02-04 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 56 - 55
2012-02-08 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 55 - 69
2012-02-15 @ Austin Peay Governors W 52 - 48
2012-02-18 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 60 - 73
2012-02-23 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 75 - 39
2012-02-25 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 76 - 61
2012-03-01 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 68 - 54
2012-03-02 @ Tennessee State Tigers L 52 - 59

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Terrance Hill Terrance Hill G 15 29.1 13.3 2.1 2.3 1.3 0.1 2.3 1.3 15.6 -71 11 -6.5 -9.6 36.8 33.3 91.7 -2.95 411.9 44.7
Ty Proffitt Ty Proffitt G 30 30.7 10.3 2.5 1.8 0.6 0.0 1.7 2.0 11.6 -25 26 -1.0 -1.3 42.4 38.5 84.2 -1.46 204.7 55.1
Drew Kelly Drew Kelly F 30 24.5 10.2 4.6 1.1 0.9 0.2 1.6 2.6 12.7 43 26 1.7 2.9 53.8 26.7 81.8 0.61 157.1 56.4
Marsell Holden Marsell Holden G 29 21.3 8.2 1.3 0.7 0.9 0.1 1.2 1.9 8.1 47 25 1.9 3.9 33.3 37.2 60.0 1.93 211.7 48.1
Milton Chavis Milton Chavis F 29 18.9 7.6 4.3 0.6 0.9 0.4 2.0 1.7 10.0 -23 25 -0.9 -2.1 55.1 100.0 53.8 -2.23 201.0 56.1
Angelo Warner Angelo Warner G 30 20.2 6.0 4.4 1.2 1.1 0.2 1.4 1.7 9.8 79 26 3.0 6.4 34.6 36.0 69.4 2.6 132.7 43.3
Lamont Austin Lamont Austin G 28 25.0 4.3 1.9 2.9 1.4 0.1 2.0 1.2 7.4 33 25 1.3 2.2 41.2 25.0 80.0 1.53 147.8 45.6
Kahlil Owens Kahlil Owens F 27 15.0 4.3 4.8 0.3 0.7 0.3 1.1 0.9 8.4 -36 23 -1.6 -4.9 60.0 0 43.8 -3.67 182.6 60.0
Deandre Mathieu Deandre Mathieu G 27 12.9 2.9 1.1 1.5 0.9 0.0 1.4 0.7 4.3 11 23 0.5 1.7 44.4 50.0 85.7 -0.72 185.0 47.2
Will Bailey Will Bailey - 22 6.0 2.2 1.2 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.4 3.0 - - - - 37.5 0.0 0 - 306.2 37.5
Devon Atkinson Devon Atkinson G 23 8.6 1.5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.7 0.4 2.2 -26 20 -1.3 -6.3 50.0 0.0 0.0 -3.24 162.8 50.0
Dionte Ferguson Dionte Ferguson F 17 6.5 1.3 1.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.7 0.0 2.8 -3 12 -0.2 -1.8 0 0 0 -1.05 0 0
Jordan Percell Jordan Percell F 29 8.1 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.3 -30 24 -1.2 -6.8 40.0 0 100.0 -2.5 195.6 40.0
Jeff Drew Jeff Drew - 2 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG