Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.9% | 29.1% | -7.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.4% | 35.6% | -3.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Illinois Panthers -1 (55-56). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Proffitt * | 34 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Lamont Austin * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Drew Kelly * | 28 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Angelo Warner * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kahlil Owens * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Milton Chavis | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Marsell Holden | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Devon Atkinson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Will Bailey | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Percell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Granger * | 34 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Joey Miller * | 30 | 5-12 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Zavier Sanders * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Alfonzo McKinnie * | 25 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| L.C. Doss * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Austin Akers | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| James Hollowell | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Malcolm Herron | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Taylor Jones | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Josh Piper | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick McFarlin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Morris Woods | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter