Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +7 (59-52). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Proffitt * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Drew Kelly * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Angelo Warner * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 14 | - |
| DeAndre Mathieu * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Marsell Holden * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Milton Chavis | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Devon Atkinson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kahlil Owens | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Will Bailey | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Percell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wil Peters * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Patrick Miller * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Robert Covington * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 16 | - |
| M.J. Rhett * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Jay Harris * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kellen Thornton | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Kenny Moore | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Cyphers | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Chris Conner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter