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2012-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Tennessee State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 30.3% 69.7% -
Bradley-Terry 53.6% 46.4% -
Margin 46.1% 53.9% +0.9 (4.1 off)
Efficiency 83.7% 16.3% -

Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +5 (77-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Austin * 35 2-7 2-5 0-2 3 6 1 0 1 6 8 -
T. Proffitt * 29 5-8 3-6 6-6 1 1 1 0 5 19 9 -
M. Holden * 26 4-12 4-11 0-0 1 0 1 1 3 12 0 -
D. Kelly * 25 4-7 0-1 1-1 6 2 1 0 1 9 10 -
J. Percell * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Chavis 22 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
K. Owens 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 0 2 4 -
A. Warner 18 2-3 1-2 3-5 4 2 0 0 1 8 10 -
D. Mathieu 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 4 5 -
W. Bailey 7 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
D. Atkinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Peters * 37 3-10 3-7 2-3 2 6 1 2 2 11 10 -
R. Covington * 35 9-12 7-9 5-6 8 1 1 1 1 30 28 -
P. Miller * 32 1-6 0-0 5-6 8 5 1 0 3 7 12 -
J. Harris * 21 3-5 3-4 3-4 0 1 1 0 2 12 7 -
M.J. Rhett * 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 4 3 -
D. Dockery 32 1-6 0-0 5-6 8 5 1 0 3 7 12 -
K. Butcher 21 3-5 3-4 3-4 0 1 1 0 2 12 7 -
K. Moore 20 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 4 6 -
T. Ward 20 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 4 6 -
J. Cyphers 16 3-6 0-3 1-2 0 2 0 0 0 7 3 -
M. Green 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
M. Bawa 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Conner 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Thornton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
T. Fredrick 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter