Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +5 (77-72). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamont Austin * | 35 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ty Proffitt * | 29 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Marsell Holden * | 26 | 4-12 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Drew Kelly * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Percell * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Milton Chavis | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kahlil Owens | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Angelo Warner | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Deandre Mathieu | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Will Bailey | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Devon Atkinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wil Peters * | 37 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Robert Covington * | 35 | 9-12 | 7-9 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 28 | - |
| Patrick Miller * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jay Harris * | 21 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| M.J. Rhett * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Dockery | 32 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Kharon Butcher | 21 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Moore | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Ward | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Cyphers | 16 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Michael Green | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Bawa | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Conner | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kellen Thornton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tashon Fredrick | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter