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2012-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Norfolk State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 36.3% 63.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% - โœ—
Margin 32.5% 67.5% +4.0 โœ— (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 46.3% 53.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 41.3% 58.7% - โœ—

Actual: Norfolk State Spartans -6 (69-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ty Proffitt * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 18 19 -
Angelo Warner * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 3 1 0 2 9 23 -
Drew Kelly * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 3 15 21 -
Lamont Austin * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 5 4 -
Devon Atkinson * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 3 7 -
Milton Chavis 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 3 2 8 16 -
Marsell Holden 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 12 16 -
Deandre Mathieu 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Kahlil Owens 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 0 1 5 10 -
Jordan Percell 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Norfolk State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle O'Quinn * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 2 14 21 -
Chris McEachin * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 3 19 21 -
Pendarvis Williams * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 4 0 2 13 25 -
Marcos Tamares * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 6 4 -
Rodney McCauley * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 2 6 -
Rob Johnson 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 12 15 -
Jamel Fuentes 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 3 1 6 -
Brandon Wheeless 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 7 -
Quasim Pugh 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
A.J. Rogers 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Winston Graham 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter