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2011-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Charleston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 31.9% 68.1% +4.3 โœ“ (10.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 28.3% 71.7% - โœ“
Margin 19.9% 80.1% +7.6 โœ“ (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 21.9% 78.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% - โœ“

Actual: Charleston Cougars +15 (72-57). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terrance Hill * 36 5-14 1-4 2-2 6 1 1 0 4 13 3 -
Ty Proffitt * 31 2-7 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 5 -2 -
Jordan Percell * 25 2-3 0-0 4-6 3 1 0 0 0 8 9 -
Lamont Austin * 19 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 3 7 -
Drew Kelly * 18 1-8 0-1 1-2 2 1 3 0 0 3 1 -
Marsell Holden 24 2-10 2-7 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 8 -1 -
Angelo Warner 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 3 5 -
Milton Chavis 12 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
DeAndre Mathieu 10 2-2 0-0 2-3 0 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
Kahlil Owens 6 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Devon Atkinson 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Will Bailey 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Dionte Ferguson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Charleston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Lawrence * 37 3-6 3-5 0-0 2 5 1 0 4 9 7 -
Trent Wiedeman * 36 3-7 0-0 1-1 12 3 0 1 5 7 11 -
Antwaine Wiggins * 28 7-13 1-6 2-3 5 3 2 1 2 17 13 -
Jordan Scott * 27 7-9 5-7 3-3 1 3 2 0 1 22 18 -
Adjehi Baru * 24 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 8 8 -
Anthony Stitt 18 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
Matt Sundberg 11 2-3 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
James Carlton 9 0-1 0-1 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 1 6 -
Trevonte Dixon 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Nori Johnson 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter