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2012-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 40.0% 60.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.4% 60.6% - โœ“
Margin 33.6% 66.4% +3.8 โœ“ (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.4% 50.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.1% 57.9% - โœ“

Actual: Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +11 (66-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ty Proffitt * 36 3-8 1-4 2-2 9 2 0 0 2 9 10 -
Lamont Austin * 29 1-3 0-2 2-2 1 1 2 0 1 4 4 -
Drew Kelly * 27 4-12 0-2 1-1 5 2 0 0 3 9 1 -
Marsell Holden * 25 5-10 5-9 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 15 3 -
Jordan Percell * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kahlil Owens 21 2-2 0-0 0-1 3 3 1 0 2 4 7 -
Angelo Warner 19 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 3 0 -
Milton Chavis 12 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 6 0 -
Deandre Mathieu 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 3 0 -
Will Bailey 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Devon Atkinson 5 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Dionte Ferguson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Murphy * 37 7-17 6-10 4-4 4 6 1 0 7 24 11 -
Zac Swansey * 35 3-6 3-4 1-2 1 4 0 0 1 10 8 -
Jud Dillard * 34 4-9 0-0 6-9 9 0 2 0 2 14 14 -
Terrell Barnes * 26 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 2 6 -
Dennis Ogbe * 12 0-1 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
Zach Bailey 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
Liam McMorrow 17 1-3 0-0 4-4 2 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
Chase Dunn 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Bassey Inameti 8 1-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 5 5 -

* = starter