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Michigan

Also known as: Michigan Wolverines, Michigan
Program History

2013 Team Stats (31 games)

75.3
PPG
63.4
Opp
+11.9
Margin
48.3%
FG%
38.4%
3P%
70.0%
FT%
34.6
RPG
14.6
APG
9.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.2
Adj PPG
58.8
Adj Opp PPG
#7
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1462 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1354 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1178 (#6) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +19.6 (#5) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +20.3 (#2) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.868 (#16) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +31.0 More โ†’ 0.973 (#5) AdjNet +31.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +31.4 More โ†’ 0.974 (#5) AdjNet +31.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 58.8 More โ†’ 0.841 (#7) AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 58.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 61.6 More โ†’ 0.787 (#3) AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 61.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.905 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.898 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 86 | GP 38 More โ†’ 1372 (#4) RD 86 | GP 38

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Slippery Rock The Rock W 100 - 62
2012-11-12 vs IUPUI Jaguars W 91 - 54
2012-11-13 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 77 - 47
2012-11-21 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 67 - 62
2012-11-23 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 71 - 57
2012-11-27 vs NC State Wolfpack W 79 - 72
2012-12-01 @ Bradley Braves W 74 - 66
2012-12-04 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 73 - 41
2012-12-08 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 80 - 67
2012-12-11 vs Binghamton Bearcats W 67 - 39
2012-12-15 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 81 - 66
2012-12-20 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 93 - 54
2012-12-29 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 88 - 73
2013-01-03 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 94 - 66
2013-01-06 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 95 - 67
2013-01-09 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 62 - 47
2013-01-13 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 53 - 56
2013-01-17 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 83 - 75
2013-01-24 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 68 - 53
2013-01-27 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 74 - 60
2013-01-30 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 68 - 46
2013-02-02 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 73 - 81
2013-02-05 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 76 - 74
2013-02-09 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 62 - 65
2013-02-12 @ Michigan State Spartans L 52 - 75
2013-02-17 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 79 - 71
2013-02-24 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 71 - 58
2013-02-27 @ Penn State Nittany Lions L 78 - 84
2013-03-03 vs Michigan State Spartans W 58 - 57
2013-03-06 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 80 - 75
2013-03-10 vs Indiana Hoosiers L 71 - 72
2013-03-14 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 83 - 66
2013-03-15 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 59 - 68
2013-03-21 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 71 - 56
2013-03-23 vs VCU Rams W 78 - 53
2013-03-29 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 87 - 85
2013-03-31 @ Florida Gators W 79 - 59
2013-04-06 vs Syracuse Orange W 61 - 56
2013-04-08 @ Louisville Cardinals L 76 - 82

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Trey Burke Trey Burke G 39 35.3 18.6 3.2 6.7 1.6 0.5 2.2 12.6 15.8 310 35 8.9 10.7 46.9 37.9 79.6 1.96 65.3 53.8
T. Hardaway Jr. T. Hardaway Jr. G 38 34.8 14.5 4.7 2.4 0.7 0.4 1.9 10.6 10.3 259 34 7.6 9.4 43.4 38.6 68.5 2.3 62.5 51.6
G. Robinson III G. Robinson III F 39 33.6 11.0 5.4 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.8 6.4 11.5 330 35 9.4 11.7 57.8 32.8 71.4 4.75 73.5 61.8
Nik Stauskas Nik Stauskas G 39 30.5 11.0 3.0 1.3 0.6 0.2 1.1 6.8 8.2 320 35 9.1 12.8 47.6 44.8 82.9 3.67 71.6 61.2
Mitch McGary Mitch McGary F 39 19.7 7.5 6.3 0.6 1.1 0.7 1.2 5.0 10.0 221 35 6.3 13.6 60.7 0 41.0 2.74 68.3 60.7
Jordan Morgan Jordan Morgan F 36 15.9 4.6 4.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.9 3.1 5.8 75 32 2.3 6.6 57.3 0 57.5 -2.05 65.0 57.3
Jon Horford Jon Horford C 32 8.8 2.7 2.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.4 1.3 4.2 32 30 1.1 5.2 53.5 0 66.7 -0.9 85.4 53.5
Caris LeVert Caris LeVert C 33 10.8 2.3 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.3 2.5 1.6 87 31 2.8 11.1 30.1 27.5 58.3 2.23 43.0 36.7
Spike Albrecht Spike Albrecht G 39 8.1 2.2 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.3 30 34 0.9 4.7 43.4 48.3 87.5 0.08 74.3 56.6
Eso Akunne Eso Akunne G 18 2.8 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 0.8 -11 15 -0.7 -14.5 27.3 27.3 50.0 -1.76 45.9 34.1
Max Bielfeldt Max Bielfeldt F 19 5.6 1.2 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.1 14 16 0.9 7.5 50.0 0.0 41.7 -0.31 49.4 50.0
Matt Vogrich Matt Vogrich G 26 5.6 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.2 18 21 0.9 8.1 38.1 31.2 75.0 0.42 57.1 50.0
Corey Person Corey Person G 13 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 -9 9 -1.0 -25.6 33.3 50.0 66.7 -2.23 68.3 41.7
Blake McLimans Blake McLimans C 17 2.5 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.7 -14 13 -1.1 -22.6 28.6 20.0 50.0 -3.36 37.0 35.7
Josh Bartelstein Josh Bartelstein G 6 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0 0.0 -0.22 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG