Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +8 (79-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Travis * | 38 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| N. Colella * | 36 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Marshall * | 31 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| S. Borovnjak * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| D.J. Newbill * | 30 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| B. Taylor | 15 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Graham | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Montminy | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Wisniewski | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Burke * | 39 | 9-16 | 3-4 | 8-9 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 23 | - |
| N. Stauskas * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| G. Robinson III * | 33 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 24 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. McGary | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Horford | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. LeVert | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| M. Vogrich | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Bielfeldt | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Albrecht | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter