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2012-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 23.5% 76.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.2% 71.8% - โœ“
Margin 27.5% 72.5% +5.3 โœ“ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 39.1% 60.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.9% 61.1% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Robinson * 34 4-10 0-3 0-1 3 6 3 0 1 8 9 -
Lamar Patterson * 31 5-9 2-4 2-2 3 3 2 0 1 14 12 -
Travon Woodall * 28 2-7 2-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 6 0 -
Talib Zanna * 25 2-4 0-0 3-3 6 0 0 0 0 7 9 -
Steven Adams * 10 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Dante Taylor 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
J.J. Moore 22 3-7 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 7 2 -
Durand Johnson 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Cameron Wright 9 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
Trey Zeigler 9 2-5 0-1 1-3 1 1 0 0 2 5 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Burke * 38 5-16 0-4 7-8 4 6 1 0 1 17 11 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 38 6-13 1-7 3-3 4 1 0 0 1 16 7 -
G. Robinson III * 33 5-8 1-2 2-4 5 1 1 1 1 13 12 -
Matt Vogrich * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Nik Stauskas 33 4-8 1-4 6-6 5 0 1 1 0 15 14 -
Jordan Morgan 29 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 4 6 -
Mitch McGary 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 3 2 3 -
Jon Horford 4 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Spike Albrecht 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Eso Akunne 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter