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2013-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 83.6% 16.4% -
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% -
Margin 69.4% 30.6% -4.5 (23.5 off)
Pythagorean 64.4% 35.6% -
Efficiency 96.0% 4.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.6% 9.4% -
Log Adjusted 90.7% 9.3% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -28 (66-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Burke * 33 9-16 4-6 1-2 4 5 4 0 2 23 18 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 31 6-8 4-5 5-6 1 4 0 0 2 21 16 -
G. Robinson III * 29 4-4 0-0 2-3 5 2 2 0 2 10 13 -
N. Stauskas * 28 4-11 2-7 0-0 0 3 0 1 0 10 3 -
J. Morgan * 21 6-8 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 0 3 12 14 -
M. McGary 20 1-4 0-0 2-2 8 0 2 1 1 4 10 -
C. LeVert 15 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 7 -
S. Albrecht 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Vogrich 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Bielfeldt 4 1-1 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
B. McLimans 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Person 2 1-1 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
E. Akunne 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Sobolewski * 34 3-7 1-5 0-0 3 5 0 0 1 7 7 -
J. Swopshire * 30 4-9 3-4 0-0 5 4 0 1 2 11 10 -
A. Marcotullio * 28 2-8 1-6 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 5 1 -
K. Abrahamson * 28 3-8 2-6 3-6 4 1 2 2 0 11 12 -
A. Olah * 18 4-8 0-0 2-4 2 5 1 0 5 10 5 -
T. Demps 24 4-11 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 10 0 -
M. Turner 19 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
J. Montgomery III 11 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 4 2 -
C. Ajou 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
N. Cerina 4 0-0 0-0 2-5 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter