🐻⬇️🏀

@
2012-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 23.1% 76.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% -
Margin 23.3% 76.7% +6.6 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.3% 94.7% -
Log Adjusted 5.3% 94.7% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +13 (80-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wade * 34 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 1 4 0 2 5 3 -
M. Powell * 32 8-17 2-4 0-0 3 1 2 3 2 18 8 -
B. Young * 28 4-10 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 9 4 -
H. Mickelson * 23 5-10 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 2 0 10 10 -
R. Madden * 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
K. Haydar 19 4-5 4-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 13 11 -
R. Scott Jr. 19 4-5 2-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 10 7 -
C. Clarke 18 0-4 0-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 2 2 -
M. Qualls 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -
A. Bell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Williams 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Stauskas * 36 4-10 2-5 2-2 1 2 0 1 1 12 5 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 35 3-10 1-4 7-8 9 3 1 0 3 14 14 -
T. Burke * 34 6-13 1-3 3-5 4 7 1 1 3 16 13 -
G. Robinson III * 29 7-11 2-3 1-1 6 0 1 0 2 17 11 -
J. Morgan * 23 5-9 0-0 2-2 10 0 1 0 3 12 11 -
M. McGary 16 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 6 6 -
J. Horford 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 3 0 0 8 -
S. Albrecht 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. LeVert 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. McLimans 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Vogrich 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Akunne 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter