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NC State Wolfpack 72
@
Michigan Wolverines 79
2012-11-27

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% - ✓
Margin 21.8% 78.2% +7.0 ✓ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% - ✓
Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 17.0% 83.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 16.9% 83.1% - ✓

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Warren * 36 8-10 0-1 2-3 4 0 0 0 0 18 12 -
S. Wood * 35 3-6 2-5 2-2 4 2 0 2 2 10 10 -
L. Brown * 34 3-10 0-1 0-1 6 10 2 1 1 6 14 -
C.J. Leslie * 33 8-17 0-0 0-0 10 1 2 2 6 16 8 -
R. Howell * 19 6-7 0-0 0-1 5 1 1 0 1 12 11 -
R. Purvis 29 2-4 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 6 1 -
T. Lewis 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Vandenberg 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Burke * 37 5-9 3-5 5-8 0 11 2 1 0 18 23 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 36 7-18 1-9 1-2 3 0 1 1 2 16 1 -
G. Robinson III * 32 3-5 1-2 4-4 7 0 0 0 2 11 11 -
J. Morgan * 23 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
M. Vogrich * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
N. Stauskas 33 6-10 4-7 4-4 2 1 0 0 0 20 13 -
M. McGary 19 3-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 8 9 -
J. Horford 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Albrecht 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
E. Akunne 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter