๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2013-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Penn State Nittany Lions Spread Result
Elo 90.0% 10.0% -14.8 โœ— (20.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 88.2% 11.8% - โœ—
Margin 93.8% 6.2% -15.0 โœ— (21.0 off)
Pythagorean 75.6% 24.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 95.4% 4.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 95.5% 4.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 79.1% 20.9% - โœ—

Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions +6 (84-78). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Vogrich 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Trey Burke * 39 5-10 1-4 7-8 2 6 1 0 6 18 11 -
Glenn Robinson III * 36 3-8 0-2 2-2 6 2 1 0 0 8 9 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 34 8-16 2-7 1-2 7 3 0 1 2 19 12 -
Nik Stauskas * 29 5-9 2-4 0-0 8 1 2 0 5 12 9 -
Jordan Morgan * 24 5-6 0-0 1-4 5 0 0 0 0 11 10 -
Caris LeVert 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jon Horford 11 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
Mitch McGary 8 2-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 0 1 4 4 -
Spike Albrecht 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 -

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Newbill * 40 6-13 2-4 3-4 1 5 2 0 4 17 8 -
Nick Colella * 37 2-4 1-2 4-5 1 1 1 0 1 9 7 -
Ross Travis * 36 4-9 0-1 7-9 12 4 4 0 0 15 26 -
Jermaine Marshall * 35 8-17 6-10 3-5 6 3 2 1 1 25 19 -
Sasa Borovnjak * 31 3-8 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 1 2 9 6 -
Brandon Taylor 12 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
Jonathan Graham 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 2 2 -

* = starter