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Louisville

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Louisville Cardinals, Louisville
Program History
Coach: Chris Mack

2022 Team Stats (5 games)

65.2
PPG
69.8
Opp
-3.0
Margin
39.5%
FG%
29.9%
3P%
61.5%
FT%
40.8
RPG
11.0
APG
12.0
TO
80.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1336 (#61) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1207 (#147) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 898 (#610) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +29.5 (#100) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +15.7 (#120) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.288 (#93) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.0 More → 0.562 (#104) NetEff +2.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.3 More → 0.405 (#77) AdjNet -3.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.3 More → 0.405 (#77) AdjNet -3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 67.8 More → 0.499 (#236) AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 67.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.719 (#183) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.671 (#189) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 137 | GP 29 More → 968 (#244) RD 137 | GP 29

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Southern Jaguars W 72 - 60
2021-11-12 vs Furman Paladins L 72 - 80
2021-11-15 vs Navy Midshipmen W 77 - 60
2021-11-20 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 73 - 67
2021-11-25 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 72 - 58
2021-11-27 @ Maryland Terrapins W 63 - 55
2021-12-01 @ Michigan State Spartans L 64 - 73
2021-12-04 @ NC State Wolfpack W 73 - 68
2021-12-10 vs DePaul Blue Demons L 55 - 62
2021-12-14 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 86 - 60
2021-12-18 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 72 - 82
2022-01-02 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 67 - 64
2022-01-12 vs NC State Wolfpack L 63 - 79
2022-01-15 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 53 - 65
2022-01-19 vs Boston College Eagles W 67 - 54
2022-01-22 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 70 - 82
2022-01-24 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 52 - 64
2022-01-29 vs Duke Blue Devils L 65 - 74
2022-02-01 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 83 - 90
2022-02-05 @ Syracuse Orange L 69 - 92
2022-02-09 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 57 - 63
2022-02-16 vs Miami Hurricanes L 63 - 70
2022-02-19 vs Clemson Tigers W 70 - 61
2022-02-21 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 63 - 70
2022-02-26 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 77 - 99
2022-03-01 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 43 - 75
2022-03-05 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 61 - 71
2022-03-08 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 84 - 74
2022-03-09 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 50 - 51

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. LaRavia J. LaRavia - 1 36.0 23.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 34.0 - - - 0 0 0 1.35 0 0
A. Hunter A. Hunter G 1 42.0 17.0 8.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 28.0 307 9.0 11.5 0 0 0 1.63 0 0
J. Carter Jr. J. Carter Jr. G 1 35.0 15.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 19.0 -91 -3.6 -6.8 0 0 0 2.05 0 0
N. Bohannon N. Bohannon F 1 34.0 11.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 14.0 18 0.5 1.0 0 0 0 0.34 0 0
Max Christie Max Christie - 1 29.0 11.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 100.0 0.68 70.9 58.3
M. Williams M. Williams - 23 26.0 10.3 8.6 1.0 1.4 0.7 1.4 2.8 17.7 -83 -9.2 -51.1 50.8 21.1 45.5 1.13 170.4 53.8
N. Locke N. Locke - 28 26.5 9.6 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 1.0 2.2 10.3 -41 -1.3 -1.9 21.3 23.7 0 0.41 221.3 28.7
El Ellis El Ellis - 28 20.3 8.3 1.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 1.4 2.1 8.5 1 0.1 0.5 40.0 41.9 70.6 -0.11 172.6 50.8
R. Njoku R. Njoku F 1 11.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 -26 -0.8 -1.8 0 0 0 -0.42 0 0
D. Davis D. Davis G 26 20.4 7.8 3.2 0.8 0.6 0.5 1.3 2.0 9.6 196 5.3 7.5 40.4 33.3 100.0 1.09 186.7 45.2
S. Curry S. Curry - 24 14.2 7.4 4.5 0.7 0.1 0.2 1.2 1.5 10.1 -113 -4.0 -12.1 59.5 0 33.3 -0.7 204.1 59.5
J. West J. West G 28 28.3 6.4 2.5 2.9 1.5 0.0 1.2 1.5 10.6 41 2.7 16.5 34.9 35.7 87.5 0.83 192.4 46.5
Matt Cross Matt Cross - 24 19.6 6.0 4.0 0.5 0.6 0.5 1.2 1.3 9.2 -25 -0.9 -1.8 28.1 16.7 0.0 0.32 223.5 32.8
J. Withers J. Withers - 23 17.5 5.0 4.6 0.7 0.7 0.4 1.6 0.7 9.0 -31 -1.1 -2.4 41.2 20.0 57.1 0.36 286.4 47.1
Samuell Williamson Samuell Williamson - 27 16.0 4.9 3.3 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.0 1.1 7.6 - - - 55.2 0 50.0 -0.08 199.1 55.2
M. Faulkner M. Faulkner G 27 17.9 4.3 1.3 2.5 0.5 0.0 1.1 0.8 6.6 -63 -2.0 -4.3 27.3 35.7 50.0 -0.07 251.3 38.6
M. Lester M. Lester G 1 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Bearden S. Bearden - 1 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Garrison C. Garrison G 1 36.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 288 8.7 11.3 0 0 0 1.48 0 0
D. Sears D. Sears F 1 30.0 2.0 14.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 19.0 16 0.5 1.2 0 0 0 -0.23 0 0
M. Howell M. Howell F 1 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -56 -1.8 -3.5 0 0 0 0.3 0 0
G. Larvadain G. Larvadain G 1 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -10 -1.1 -9.8 0 0 0 -0.13 0 0
R. Wheeler R. Wheeler C 19 6.7 1.7 1.6 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 3.5 -4 -0.2 -1.2 0.0 0 100.0 0.16 336.1 0.0
JJ Traynor JJ Traynor F 10 8.2 1.6 1.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.1 2.8 -28 -2.8 -13.1 0.0 0 0 -0.23 800.0 0.0
Wiznitzer, Gabe Wiznitzer, Gabe - 5 6.2 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.4 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Bradley Colbert Bradley Colbert - 4 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
M. James M. James G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -123 -4.9 -10.7 - - - -0.21 - -
C. Silva C. Silva G 1 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25 0.8 3.5 0 0 0 0.36 0 0
K. Parker K. Parker C 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7 -0.4 -3.0 0 0 0 -0.21 0 0
A. Myles-Devore A. Myles-Devore - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Mathis Jr. A. Mathis Jr. - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -68 -2.2 -3.1 0 0 0 2.01 0 0
J. Repass J. Repass F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Varga B. Varga G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
J. Ewing J. Ewing - 1 9.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -10 -0.3 -1.2 0 0 0 -0.26 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG