Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.5% | 80.5% | +7.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -5 (68-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Locke * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| J. West * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | - |
| M. Williams * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 29 | - |
| D. Davis * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 21 | - |
| J. Withers * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Cross | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| E. Ellis | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| M. Faulkner | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| G. Wiznitzer | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Williamson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Wheeler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 20 | - |
| B. Pass | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Ross | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter