Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | +7.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +1 (51-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Williams * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| J. West * | 31 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Locke * | 25 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| M. Faulkner * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| S. Curry * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Williamson | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Davis | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| E. Ellis | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Shedrick | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K. Stattmann | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Poindexter | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Clark * | 38 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 37 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 37 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 24 | 0-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter