Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Davis * | 34 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| J. West * | 31 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| M. Christie * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Williams * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| N. Locke * | 25 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Withers * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| E. Ellis | 19 | 8-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | - |
| M. Cross | 18 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Faulkner | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Wheeler | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Williamson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Wiznitzer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Walker * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | - |
| J. Hauser * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| M. Hall | 24 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| A. Hoggard | 22 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Akins | 11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Sissoko | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter