Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Williams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| J. West * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| E. Ellis * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| D. Davis * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| S. Williamson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| N. Locke | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| M. Faulkner | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| JJ Traynor | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Curry | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Wheeler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bacot * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 24 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 22 | - |
| J. Withers * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| L. Black * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
* = starter