Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.0% | 22.0% | -6.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -7 (83-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Black * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 23 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 27 | - |
| B. Manek * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 30 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 46 | - |
| J. Withers | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| P. Johnson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. McKoy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cross * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 30 | - |
| N. Locke * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| S. Curry * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| D. Davis * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Faulkner * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| E. Ellis | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 29 | - |
| J. West | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| S. Williamson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| G. Wiznitzer | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter