Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +17 (77-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Deaver * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | - |
| S. Yoder * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| T. Nelson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| P.J. Roach Jr. | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Allison | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Rehnstrom | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carter Jr. * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - |
| J. Withers * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| J. West * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| M. Williams * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 | - |
| N. Locke * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Davis * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Williamson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| M. Faulkner | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| E. Ellis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Cross | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| R. Njoku | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Silva | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Wheeler | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
* = starter