Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | +7.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +12 (64-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Faulkner * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Williams * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| N. Locke * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Davis * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Curry * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Cross | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - |
| J. West | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| E. Ellis | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| S. Williamson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Wheeler | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Withers | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Clark * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 23 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| F. Caffaro * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
* = starter