Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.7% | 41.3% | -1.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -10 (61-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Beekman * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 37 | - |
| K. Clark * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| F. Caffaro * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Williams * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| S. Curry * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 38 | - |
| J. West * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Faulkner * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| N. Locke * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| E. Ellis | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Davis | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Cross | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Williamson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| JJ Traynor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Wheeler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter