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LSU

Also known as: LSU Tigers, LSU
Program History

2012 Team Stats (5 games)

60.8
PPG
68.4
Opp
-7.6
Margin
44.6%
FG%
39.7%
3P%
57.8%
FT%
29.0
RPG
12.2
APG
12.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.6
Adj PPG
60.8
Adj Opp PPG
#101
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1074 (#135) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1095 (#109) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 982 (#191) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +5.5 (#99) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +4.2 (#114) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.540 (#147) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.5 More โ†’ 0.749 (#94) AdjNet +9.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.6 More โ†’ 0.752 (#94) AdjNet +9.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 60.8 More โ†’ 0.609 (#101) AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 60.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 62.2 More โ†’ 0.520 (#147) AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 62.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.615 (#117) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.598 (#120) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 117 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1105 (#102) RD 117 | GP 32

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 vs Nicholls Colonels W 96 - 74
2011-11-15 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 63 - 71
2011-11-17 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 82 - 88
2011-11-18 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 76 - 57
2011-11-20 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 59 - 50
2011-11-23 vs South Alabama Jaguars L 75 - 79
2011-11-29 @ Houston Cougars W 59 - 58
2011-12-03 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 55 - 50
2011-12-10 vs Boise State Broncos W 64 - 45
2011-12-15 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 66 - 59
2011-12-19 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 67 - 59
2011-12-22 @ North Texas Mean Green W 67 - 58
2011-12-29 vs Grambling Tigers W 69 - 37
2012-01-02 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 52 - 57
2012-01-07 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 81 - 55
2012-01-11 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 53 - 69
2012-01-14 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 60 - 69
2012-01-17 vs Auburn Tigers W 65 - 58
2012-01-21 @ Florida Gators L 64 - 76
2012-01-25 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 71 - 76
2012-01-28 vs Kentucky Wildcats L 50 - 74
2012-02-04 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 71 - 65
2012-02-08 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 61 - 76
2012-02-14 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 69 - 67
2012-02-18 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 68 - 58
2012-02-22 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 61 - 53
2012-02-25 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 48 - 72
2012-02-29 vs Tennessee Volunteers L 69 - 74
2012-03-03 @ Auburn Tigers L 52 - 67
2012-03-08 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 70 - 54
2012-03-09 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 51 - 60
2012-03-13 @ Oregon Ducks L 76 - 96

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Justin Hamilton Justin Hamilton C 32 29.8 12.7 7.2 0.9 0.7 1.3 1.7 4.8 16.3 -28 26 -1.1 -1.6 50.3 25.0 78.7 0.38 112.6 50.7
Andre Stringer Andre Stringer G 27 32.1 10.0 2.1 2.7 1.3 0.0 1.8 3.9 10.5 -51 21 -2.4 -3.3 30.8 24.5 84.6 -2.0 116.5 37.0
Ralston Turner Ralston Turner G 32 28.8 9.3 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.2 1.8 3.2 9.7 38 26 1.5 2.2 33.3 37.8 66.7 4.37 131.3 41.7
Anthony Hickey Anthony Hickey G 32 31.2 9.1 3.6 3.8 2.1 0.2 1.9 3.9 12.8 -11 26 -0.4 -0.6 49.2 46.8 41.7 0.01 110.5 60.7
Storm Warren Storm Warren F 32 19.7 8.4 5.2 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 3.2 11.9 39 26 1.5 3.3 39.2 0.0 61.5 2.77 119.0 39.2
Johnny O'Bryant Johnny O'Bryant F 27 21.1 8.2 6.6 0.3 0.5 0.8 2.4 2.1 11.9 -28 21 -1.3 -2.7 34.5 20.0 46.7 -0.03 171.8 35.3
Malcolm White Malcolm White F 27 10.1 3.6 2.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.2 4.6 -18 21 -0.9 -3.6 40.6 0 53.3 -1.39 125.6 40.6
John Isaac John Isaac G 30 14.4 2.6 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.9 1.1 3.1 -82 24 -3.4 -11.2 40.6 25.0 70.0 -6.78 107.1 43.8
Jalen Courtney Jalen Courtney F 19 7.2 2.4 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1 2.9 36 16 2.2 13.2 35.0 27.3 100.0 2.49 110.2 42.5
Eddie Ludwig Eddie Ludwig F 27 10.6 2.1 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 4.0 -2 22 -0.1 -0.4 46.7 50.0 83.3 0.76 164.4 50.0
Chris Bass Chris Bass G 31 13.0 1.6 1.5 1.6 0.7 0.0 1.0 0.4 4.0 -22 26 -0.8 -2.7 53.8 60.0 38.5 -1.44 136.2 65.4
Andrew Del Piero Andrew Del Piero C 4 3.0 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 50.0 -0.33 170.5 0
Ronald Martin Ronald Martin G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG